TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks player performance metrics in a specific football game, focusing on cumulative rushing and receiving yards achieved by individual players. Outcomes depend on whether designated players meet or exceed set yardage thresholds during the match.
All markets resolve based on whether specified Baltimore or Buffalo players achieve predefined combined rushing and receiving yardage thresholds in the game scheduled for November 1, 2026. Each market corresponds to a unique player and yardage requirement, resolving to Yes if the player meets or exceeds its threshold. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the market settles strictly on the total yards recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation of player performance against each threshold regardless of variable game conditions or participant status changes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and often incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may suggest that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular event. It’s important to analyze both to form a well-informed opinion.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing and receiving yardage totals for the players involved will be used to determine whether the contracts settle in the money. The official NFL statistics will serve as the source of truth for yardage totals. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or weather conditions could cause the odds to shift. Unexpected announcements about player availability, such as a starting running back being ruled out, would likely lead to substantial movement. Additionally, late-breaking news about defensive matchups or coaching decisions could influence traders' assessments. Monitoring these factors closely will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before it resolves.