TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how often specific players attempt to run with the ball during an upcoming football game between Baltimore and Buffalo. The focus is on whether designated players reach certain thresholds of rushing attempts, reflecting their potential usage in the game plan.
All markets resolve based on the number of rushing attempts recorded by specified players during the Baltimore vs Buffalo Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. For each market, if the named player records the specified number of rushing attempts or more, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles strictly based on the actual rushing attempts recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for this event, ensuring consistent evaluation of player performance metrics.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the perceived probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of its corresponding contract will increase. Conversely, if sentiment shifts, the price will decrease. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time assessment of probabilities based on the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final official statistics for rushing attempts in the Baltimore versus Buffalo game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as recorded by the NFL. Traders will be able to see the final result and whether their predictions were accurate following the completion of the game. The market will then settle, and payouts will be distributed accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a significant catalyst, as would changes in weather forecasts that might favor a run-heavy or pass-heavy offensive strategy. Unexpected news regarding coaching decisions or offensive line changes could also impact the market. Furthermore, any shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams’ likely game plans could drive trading activity and alter the odds in this market.