TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks receiving yard performance for specific players in an upcoming NFL matchup. Participants can speculate on how many yards each designated player will gain through receiving plays during the game. Payouts are directly tied to the actual yardage achieved by each player.
This event comprises multiple parallel scalar markets focusing on receiving yardage performance by individual players in the Baltimore vs Buffalo NFL game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific player and resolves based on the exact number of receiving yards that player records during the game. For each player market, Yes contracts pay $0.0025 per receiving yard recorded, capped at $1.00 for up to 400 yards, while No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout. The payout structure ensures that total payouts for any contract never exceed $1.00, with proportional allocations based on yardage totals. For instance, if a player records 80 receiving yards, Yes contracts pay $0.20 and No contracts pay $0.80; at 200 yards, both sides pay $0.50. If a player records zero yards, Yes pays $0.00 and No pays $1.00. All markets operate independently, and each resolves solely based on the designated player’s performance, with no cross-market dependencies. The structure allows participants to bet on both the likelihood of yardage thresholds and the distribution of receiving production among key players.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yard outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that the price reflects the aggregate belief of all participants, and can change rapidly as new information emerges or sentiment shifts. The current market depth and order book are visible on the Kalshi dashboard.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics for the Baltimore vs Buffalo game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yards for each player will be used to determine which contracts settle at 100, and which settle at 0. The official NFL statistics will serve as the definitive source for determining the winners and losers in this market. Traders should monitor official sources as the game progresses to understand how the market is likely to resolve.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would be a major catalyst, as would any changes to the projected weather conditions for the game. Unexpected news regarding quarterback performance or play-calling tendencies could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, as the game approaches, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sports analysts could influence trading activity and cause the odds to move. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on market fluctuations.