TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:54 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Baltimore and Buffalo, focusing on how many receiving yards each player accumulates. The payout structure rewards higher yardage achievements with progressively larger returns, creating a direct link between player performance and financial outcome.
Each market resolves based on the official receiving yards accumulated by the specified player in the Baltimore vs Buffalo Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. For every 10-yard increment in receiving yards achieved by the player, the payout for Yes contracts increases according to a predefined schedule, ranging from $0.0000 for 0–9 yards up to $1.0000 for 200 or more yards. The Yes payout is capped at $1.00 and follows a specific calculation formula based on the cubic function of the yardage achieved, truncated to the nearest cent. No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout, ensuring that the total payout for both sides equals $1.00. If a player records negative receiving yards, the Yes payout defaults to $0.00. All markets are scalar in nature, resolving solely based on the exact yardage figures without any additional conditions or external factors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different yardage thresholds. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of a player exceeding that yardage total. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the market. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment surrounding player performance and game conditions.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics for the Baltimore vs Buffalo game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official NFL statistics will be used to determine which contracts pay out, based on whether the actual receiving yards exceed the threshold specified in each contract. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available data, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or the opposing team's defensive strategies would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also shift the market. Furthermore, late-breaking reports on player matchups or coaching decisions could impact trader sentiment and lead to adjustments in contract prices. Unexpected news about a player’s health or status is often a major catalyst for movement in this market.