TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will be the first to reach 28 points in an upcoming football game between Baltimore and Buffalo. It captures the dynamic nature of the contest by focusing on the pace at which each team scores, rather than the final outcome. The resolution depends purely on which team hits the 28-point mark first, or if neither does.
The event determines whether Buffalo, Baltimore, or neither team is the first to score 28 points in the Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. If either team reaches 28 points first during the game’s regulation or overtime, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should neither team achieve this milestone, the Neither Team market resolves to Yes. Postponements are accounted for: if the game starts within 48 hours of its original time, trading continues and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price. These rules ensure clarity and fairness regardless of scheduling changes or game outcome.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, while sportsbook odds are set by professional oddsmakers. This can lead to differences, as sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting biases or promotional considerations. Often, prediction markets are considered more accurate forecasters of event outcomes, as they aggregate diverse opinions and allow traders to adjust their positions based on new information. However, sportsbook odds can be useful for comparison, providing an alternative perspective on the probabilities involved in this market. It’s important to consider both when forming your own assessment.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official scoring of the Baltimore vs Buffalo game, specifically determining whether either team reaches 28 points before the game concludes. The final score will be the determining factor, and the outcome will be verified against official sources to ensure accuracy. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome aligns with the verified result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Baltimore or Buffalo teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team’s offensive style, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any updates on team strategies or coaching decisions could shift the perceived probabilities. Finally, general sentiment and public opinion, as reflected in sports news and social media, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.