TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

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2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Baltimore vs Buffalo: Passing Touchdowns
kalshi

What is the result of Baltimore vs Buffalo?

Volume:
$9,336

Josh Allen: 1+

 - Kalshi

Josh Allen: 1+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 3:58 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Josh Allen: 1+

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,352
N/A
N/A
$6,344
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Josh Allen: 2+

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$524
N/A
N/A
$437
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lamar Jackson: 1+

View
87%
Yes 87¢No 13¢
—
N/A
$27
N/A
N/A
$27
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Lamar Jackson: 2+

View
51%
4%
Yes 51¢No 49¢
—
N/A
$1,521
N/A
N/A
$1,521
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Lamar Jackson: 3+

View
23%
Yes 23¢No 77¢
—
N/A
$249
N/A
N/A
$249
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Lamar Jackson: 4+

View
9%
Yes 9¢No 91¢
—
N/A
$79
N/A
N/A
$79
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Josh Allen: 3+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$584
N/A
N/A
$550
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Allen: 4+

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Allen: 5+

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the performance of a specific quarterback in an upcoming football game, focusing on how many times he successfully throws the ball for scores. The outcome depends entirely on the actual number of scoring passes he makes during the full match, including any extra periods.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the total number of passing touchdowns thrown by Josh Allen in the specified game. Each market has a different threshold (1+, 2+, 3+, 4+, or 5+ touchdowns) that must be met or exceeded for a 'Yes' outcome. All contracts include a protection clause: if Allen participates in any play during the first half but none after halftime (including overtime), the contract resolves at the pre-game fair price unless he meets or exceeds his market's threshold, in which case it settles based on actual performance. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. All statistics include overtime periods, and the contracts apply only to full-game performance with at-least criteria.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL passing touchdowns market tracks the current prices for various outcomes, displaying the implied probabilities of each player achieving a specific number of passing touchdowns in the upcoming game. You can also view the price history to see how the market has moved over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $9,207. Total volume for this market is $9,336. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities within this specific market.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the price variations between the two types of markets. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an event occurring.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official game statistics from the NFL will be used to determine the number of passing touchdowns scored by each quarterback. The market will settle based on these official statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand the outcome of this market.

Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding quarterback injuries, changes in weather conditions, or adjustments to team strategies could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected reports about a quarterback’s health, even minor ones, can lead to rapid price shifts. Additionally, updates on opposing team defenses or key receiver availability could also play a role. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price changes, so monitoring the trading activity is crucial.