TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:22 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets allow participants to bet on the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Baltimore and Buffalo. Payouts are directly tied to the players' fantasy points scored during the match, calculated using a standardized scoring system.
Each market determines payouts based on the PPR fantasy points scored by a designated player in the specified game, using Sleeper's weekly standard scoring. Yes contracts pay $0.01 per fantasy point, rounded to the nearest cent with half cents rounded up, and capped between $0.00 and $1.00. No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout. If Sleeper does not assign a fantasy-point total for the week, the player is considered to have scored 0.0 points, resulting in a Yes payout of $0.00 and a No payout of $1.00. Payouts are proportional to contract holdings, with examples provided for various point totals to illustrate the rounding and capping mechanics.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, on Kalshi, reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately assess probabilities. As a result, the implied probabilities from prediction markets can sometimes be more accurate than those offered by traditional sportsbooks, particularly as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds can still be useful for comparison and identifying potential discrepancies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market is constantly adjusting to new information and changing expectations. The current price is determined by the last traded price of each contract.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final results of the Baltimore vs Buffalo Fantasy Ladder event. The outcome will be determined by the official standings and scoring as reported by the relevant fantasy sports platform. Traders will then be paid out based on whether the contracts they held corresponded to the actual result. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to stay informed.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected performance during regular season games could cause the odds to shift. Significant media coverage or expert analysis predicting a change in team dynamics could also influence trader behavior. Furthermore, the performance of key players in upcoming games and any alterations to the Fantasy Ladder scoring system would be closely watched. Unexpected developments or late-breaking news are likely to create volatility in this market until it resolves.