TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$181,481,432

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,827,991,073

405,996

Markets across

40,551

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,368

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Baltimore vs Buffalo: 4th Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Baltimore vs Buffalo?

Volume:
$31,107

Buffalo wins by over 6.5 points

 - Kalshi

Buffalo wins by over 6.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 4:26 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Buffalo wins by over 6.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,024
N/A
N/A
$5,574
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Buffalo wins by over 2.5 points

100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,078
N/A
N/A
$3,263
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Buffalo wins by over 7.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,261
N/A
N/A
$5,148
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Buffalo wins by over 1.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,554
N/A
N/A
$3,674
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Buffalo wins by over 10.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,277
N/A
N/A
$1,030
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Buffalo wins by over 3.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,879
N/A
N/A
$1,862
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Baltimore wins by over 2.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,647
N/A
N/A
$1,353
Settled
No
kalshi

Buffalo wins by over 14.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,182
N/A
N/A
$1,097
Settled
No
kalshi

Baltimore wins by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$151
N/A
N/A
$99
Settled
No
kalshi

Baltimore wins by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33
N/A
N/A
$33
Settled
No
kalshi

Baltimore wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
$18
Settled
No
kalshi

Baltimore wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
kalshi

Buffalo wins by over 17.5 points

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Baltimore or Buffalo specifically within the final quarter of their scheduled game on Nov 1, 2026. Outcomes depend entirely on how many points each team scores in that single quarter, excluding any overtime periods.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the point differential between Baltimore and Buffalo during the 4th quarter of play, with overtime points excluded from consideration. Each market specifies a different threshold for the winning team's margin of victory: markets exist for Buffalo winning by margins exceeding 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points, as well as for Baltimore winning by margins exceeding 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points. A market resolves to 'Yes' only if the specified team's victory margin in that quarter strictly surpasses the stated threshold. No points scored before or after the 4th quarter affect any outcome, and all determinations are final once the game concludes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL 4th quarter spread tracks the current price of contracts representing predictions on the point differential in the fourth quarter of the Baltimore versus Buffalo game. You can view the historical price action, allowing you to analyze how the perceived probability of different outcomes has shifted over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume of $15,530, indicating recent market activity. Currently, the total volume for this market is $27,124.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often providing a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as the event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perceptions, while this market aggregates the views of informed traders. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes move faster to incorporate breaking news, while this market relies on traders actively adjusting their positions. It’s important to compare both to get a comprehensive view of expectations for the game.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread in the fourth quarter of the Baltimore versus Buffalo game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics reported by a trusted sports data provider. The contract will pay out $1.00 to the winning side, representing the accurate prediction of the 4th quarter spread, and $0.00 to the losing side. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Baltimore or Buffalo teams would likely cause a shift in the spread. Late-breaking weather reports, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing game, could also influence trading activity. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected lineup adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis, could also affect the price of contracts in this market.