TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:25 PM EST
Kalshi
The market depends on whether both Baltimore and Buffalo score points specifically in the fourth quarter of regulation, excluding overtime. Any scoring method counts, with the focus solely on this final quarter's performance.
If Baltimore and Buffalo both score points in the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Baltimore vs Buffalo Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of many individual traders. Often, you’ll find that this market incorporates information and perspectives not fully captured by sportsbooks, leading to potential discrepancies. However, as game day approaches, the odds from both sources tend to converge as more information becomes available and public sentiment solidifies.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether both the Baltimore and Buffalo teams score at least one point during the fourth quarter of the game. Official game statistics from a reputable sports data provider will be used to determine the final result. The market will then settle, and contract holders will receive their payouts based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key offensive players on either team are significant catalysts, as they directly impact scoring potential. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be severe, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news regarding coaching strategies or team morale might also play a role. Finally, as the game approaches, any shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis could drive trading activity and move the price of this market.