TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:25 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting whether one team will achieve a specified point differential advantage over the opposing team specifically in the second half of a football game, including any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential between Baltimore and Buffalo during the second half (including overtime) of their game scheduled for November 1, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold for the winning team's margin of victory: markets 1-8 resolve if Buffalo wins by more than the stated margin, while markets 9-15 resolve if Baltimore wins by more than the stated margin. Only points scored in the second half and any overtime periods count toward these calculations. The outcome depends entirely on the final score differential from that specific segment of the game, with no consideration given to the first half's results or overall game context.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and specialized knowledge. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, like others, can move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions. It’s common to see prediction markets converge with sportsbook lines closer to the event, but divergences can occur based on unique insights held by market participants.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the second half of the Baltimore versus Buffalo game will be used to determine whether Baltimore won by more than 2.5 points. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be publicly available following the completion of the game. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, particularly the quarterback or key offensive players, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the game's outcome and shift market sentiment. Additionally, any late-breaking news regarding team strategy or coaching decisions could move the market. Public perception and betting trends in traditional sportsbooks can also indirectly influence trading activity on Kalshi.