TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in the first half of an upcoming football game. Each market has a different threshold for the points a team needs to score for the market to settle positively.
These markets resolve based on the total points scored by either Baltimore or Buffalo in the first half of their game scheduled for November 1, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold; if the specified team scores more points than that threshold during the first half, the market resolves to Yes. If not, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, and each threshold represents a different level of performance requirement for the respective team.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often converging with sportsbook odds as the event approaches. However, differences can emerge due to varying levels of information and analytical approaches. Sportsbooks set lines based on their models and risk management, while this market represents the collective beliefs of individual traders. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information or breaking news, potentially leading to temporary discrepancies before sportsbook odds adjust. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into public perception versus professional analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Bills vs Ravens first half total. The market depth shows the available contracts at various price points, indicating the strength of buy and sell interest.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official first half team totals as recorded by the official league statistics. The market will determine which team’s first half total exceeded or fell short of the market’s implied threshold. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their stake. The final result will be publicly available following the game’s completion.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to and during the game. Injury reports for key players on either the Bills or Ravens would be significant, as changes to offensive lineups can impact scoring potential. Weather conditions, particularly wind or rain, could also play a role, potentially affecting passing or kicking games. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or team morale could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, early game developments, such as a quick touchdown drive or a key turnover, could cause rapid adjustments in the market price.