TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:25 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting combined outcomes of both the first half and the full game result in an upcoming football match. Each market specifies a unique pairing of first half and full game results, requiring both conditions to be met for a successful resolution.
Each market requires a specific combination of first half and full game results to resolve to Yes. If either the first half or full game result does not match the specified outcome, the market resolves to No. Postponements within 48 hours of the original start time allow the market to remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. All resolutions depend strictly on the official results of the game, including any overtime periods.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines that are set by analysts. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception and team narratives, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse set of traders. Over time, as more information becomes available and trading volume increases, the odds on Kalshi often converge with those found at sportsbooks, though discrepancies can still occur due to differing market participants and risk assessments. It’s common to see prediction markets as more accurate forecasts than traditional polls.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the NFL game between Baltimore and Buffalo, determining both the first-half winner and the overall game winner. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either team, changes in weather conditions, or significant coaching decisions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in other NFL games that week might also impact perceptions of team strength and influence the odds. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in expectations, causing prices to move rapidly. Monitoring these signals could provide insights into potential market movements before Nov 1, 2026.