TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 1:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting which player or unit will score the first touchdown for the Buffalo team in an upcoming professional football game against Baltimore. Each market corresponds to a specific player or the defensive unit, with outcomes determined by game performance.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified Buffalo player or unit scores the first touchdown of the game. If the designated player is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once a player takes a snap, the market outcome depends solely on whether they score the first touchdown. If no Buffalo touchdowns are scored during the game, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all individual player markets resolve to No. These rules apply uniformly across all player-specific and defensive unit markets, ensuring consistent resolution criteria for each participant.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the event. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths and weaknesses. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges closer to the game.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which player officially scores the first touchdown for the Buffalo Bills during the game. The official game statistics will be used to determine the winning outcome. It's important to note that any scoring plays that are later overturned by officials will not count towards resolution; only officially recorded touchdowns are considered.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, particularly to key offensive players for the Buffalo Bills, would likely cause substantial shifts in probabilities. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if conditions are expected to be unfavorable for passing, could also influence the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking reports about coaching strategies or potential changes to the game plan could lead to traders adjusting their positions, causing fluctuations in the prices of contracts within this market.