TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 1:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting which Baltimore player or unit will score the first touchdown in an upcoming football game against Buffalo. Each market corresponds to a specific player or the defensive unit, with outcomes determined by game events.
These markets determine whether a specified Baltimore player or the team's defense scores the first touchdown in the game against Buffalo. Each individual player or unit market resolves to Yes if that specific participant scores the first Baltimore touchdown. If a participant is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once a participant takes a snap, the market resolves based on whether they score the first touchdown. If no Baltimore touchdowns are scored during the game, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all other player and unit markets resolve to No.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market represents the collective belief of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, it could indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, perhaps anticipating an injury or a tactical shift. It’s a good practice to compare both to form a well-rounded view of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which player scored the first touchdown for the Baltimore Ravens in the game against the Buffalo Bills. The official game statistics will be used to verify the outcome, ensuring accuracy and fairness. Traders will then be paid out based on the final result and their positions in the market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key Baltimore offensive players, particularly the running back or wide receivers, would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the expected game plan and affect which player is favored to score first. Finally, any late-breaking news about the Buffalo Bills’ defensive strategy or a change in the starting lineup could also move this market.