TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the offensive performance of both teams in an upcoming football game, focusing on how many total yards each team gains during the match. Bettors can speculate on whether either team will surpass various yardage thresholds. The outcome depends purely on the game's statistical results.
The event evaluates whether Atlanta or Baltimore achieves specific total offensive yard thresholds (ranging from 250 to 450 yards) in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market corresponds to a distinct yardage benchmark for one team, resolving to Yes if the team meets or exceeds its designated threshold. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing uncertainties.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and evolving information. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows traders to incorporate a wider range of factors, including injury reports, weather conditions, and even qualitative assessments of team morale. It's common to see this market converge towards what many believe is the 'true' probability as the event approaches, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sports betting odds.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total yardage for each team, as recorded by the official NFL statistics, will determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. The market will settle based on the officially reported combined yardage for both the Baltimore and Atlanta teams, providing a clear and objective determination of the winning contract.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Baltimore or Atlanta teams would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions expected to favor either a passing or running game, could also impact trading activity. Significant adjustments to team strategies or coaching decisions announced before game day might also prompt traders to reassess their predictions, leading to movement in the market prices. Any unexpected developments related to team performance or player availability could drive volatility.