TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This market predicts whether Bijan Robinson will record 80 or more rushing yards in the Baltimore versus Atlanta professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to Robinson achieving this milestone. The market will resolve based on official game statistics from the October 11, 2026 match, as defined by whether Robinson records 50+ rushing yards. Keep a close watch on the game itself on October 11, 2026, as the final rushing yard totals will determine the outcome of this market.
Each market evaluates whether a specified player reaches a defined rushing yard threshold in the Baltimore vs Atlanta game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. If the player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a player takes at least one snap — even if the play is nullified by penalty — the market resolves strictly based on the total rushing yards they record during the game. All markets are independent, with each representing a different yardage benchmark for one player. The markets operate under standard sports outcome resolution protocols, with no official affiliation to the governing league.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, whereas this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or news breaks. Polling data and expert analyses often fall between the sportsbook lines and the prices observed in this market, representing a blend of informed opinion and statistical modeling.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yardage ranges. The price of a contract indicates the probability of the actual rushing yards falling within that range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the contract price will climb. Conversely, if sentiment shifts towards a different outcome, the price of contracts representing that outcome will decrease, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals from the game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL, ensuring an objective and transparent determination of the winning contracts. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the official results are available, allowing for a clear and definitive settlement of all open positions.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a significant catalyst, as would any changes to the expected game plan or weather conditions. News regarding defensive matchups or coaching strategies could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected late-breaking news, such as a key player being ruled out, has the potential to cause substantial shifts in the market as traders adjust their expectations based on the latest information.