TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 9:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will be the first to reach 14 points in an upcoming football game between Baltimore and Atlanta. It captures the dynamic nature of the contest by focusing on early scoring momentum rather than the final outcome. The resolution depends purely on the in-game progression of points.
The event determines whether Atlanta, Baltimore, or neither team is the first to score 14 points in the Pro Football game originally scheduled for October 11, 2026. If either Atlanta or Baltimore reaches 14 points first during the full game, including any overtime periods, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should neither team achieve this milestone, the 'Neither Team' market resolves to Yes. Postponements are accounted for: if the game starts within 48 hours of its original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not commence within this window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under varying scheduling circumstances.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s immediately available to sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately predict the outcome. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes differ due to factors like house bias or promotional offers. It's valuable to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding of expectations for the Baltimore vs Atlanta points race.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each team reaching 14 points first. As more people buy a contract, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the likelihood of that outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team reaches 14 points first during the game between Baltimore and Atlanta. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to see the final result and any relevant supporting information on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence trading in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Baltimore or Atlanta would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team strategy or coaching decisions could also shift expectations. Furthermore, early game performance during the contest itself – for example, a quick scoring drive by one team – could cause a rapid adjustment in the market price. Public perception and media coverage surrounding the teams’ chances will also contribute to movements in this market leading up to and during the game.