TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 9:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will be the first to reach a score of 10 points in an upcoming professional football game. It captures the dynamic early-game momentum between the two competing teams. The outcome depends purely on the scoring sequence during the match.
The event determines whether Baltimore, Atlanta, or neither team is the first to score 10 points in the Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. If either Baltimore or Atlanta reaches 10 points first during the full game, including any overtime periods, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If neither team achieves this milestone, the 'Neither Team' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen scheduling disruptions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives from traders. As more information becomes available – such as early game performance or injury reports – you may observe convergence or divergence between the two. However, prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate forecasts, especially when there's significant public interest and active trading in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As traders exchange positions, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing expectations. The market depth and spread indicate the level of agreement or disagreement among participants regarding the points race between Baltimore and Atlanta. A narrower spread generally suggests greater confidence in the predicted outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be determined by which team reaches 10 points first during the game. The platform will verify the final score against official game statistics to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those who bet on the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. This market offers a unique opportunity to test your predictive abilities.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Baltimore or Atlanta would likely cause a shift in the odds. In-game performance, such as early scoring drives or defensive stops, will also have an immediate impact. Unexpected weather conditions could also play a role, potentially favoring one team's offensive or defensive strategy. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, reflected in increased trading volume, could contribute to price movements in this market as the game approaches and unfolds.