TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which player will achieve the longest rushing play in an upcoming football game between Baltimore and Atlanta. Each market focuses on a specific player and a minimum yardage threshold they need to surpass for their respective outcome to be considered successful.
The event determines whether specified players record a longest rush exceeding defined yardage thresholds in the Baltimore vs Atlanta Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. For each player market, if the athlete records a rush longer than the stated threshold, that market resolves to Yes. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market outcome is determined solely by whether the player's longest rush in the game meets or exceeds the specified yardage threshold. All markets operate independently, and each is subject to these participant-specific conditions.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives from many traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – you may see the prediction market odds adjust more quickly than those offered by sportsbooks. It’s common to observe discrepancies, especially before the event begins, as traders weigh various factors influencing the potential for the longest rush.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of each player having the longest rush. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of that outcome. As more traders buy a specific contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, dynamically adjusting as new information emerges and opinions shift regarding the potential performance of each player in the game.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the player with the longest rushing yardage in the Baltimore versus Atlanta game, as officially recorded by game statistics, will determine the winning contract. The official game statistics will be used to determine the longest rush, and this information will be verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts for the correct player will receive a payout of 100 per contract.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key running backs on either team would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor a passing or rushing attack, could also influence trader behavior. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or adjustments to offensive game plans could also impact the market. Finally, any significant public endorsements or analyses predicting a specific player's performance could sway the collective sentiment and cause price fluctuations in this market.