TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether Michael Penix Jr. will achieve 150 or more passing yards in the Baltimore versus Atlanta professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to Penix Jr. exceeding this yardage threshold. The market resolves based on official game statistics from the Baltimore vs Atlanta Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, as defined by the resolution source. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market will resolve on October 12, 2026, following the conclusion of the fixture and official recording of Penix Jr.’s passing yardage.
All markets resolve based on the total passing yards recorded by the specified player in the Baltimore vs Atlanta Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. If the player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the player takes at least one snap—even if that snap is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual passing yards recorded during the game. Each market has a distinct threshold (e.g., 150+, 175+, etc.), and the market resolves to 'Yes' only if the player meets or exceeds that specific threshold. The markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market's prices are driven purely by individuals willing to buy or sell based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant news breaks or as more information becomes available. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into public perception versus professional oddsmakers’ assessments of the game’s likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing yardage statistics from the Baltimore versus Atlanta game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official passing yard totals will be used to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. Traders who correctly predicted the passing yardage range will be paid out according to the contract terms at the time of their trade.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely cause price shifts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions unfavorable for passing, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or offensive play-calling strategies could also move the market. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis, could impact the collective predictions reflected in the prices.