TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 12:01 AM EST
Kalshi
Fantasy football enthusiasts will watch the same matchup, where players’ performance in a standard points-per-reception format influences betting outcomes. The scoring system converts each player’s weekly points into monetary rewards for participants.
Contracts pay based on PPR fantasy points scored by specified players during the game. Yes payouts are $0.01 per fantasy point, rounded to the nearest cent with half cents rounded up, and capped at $1.00. No payouts are $1.00 minus the Yes payout. If Sleeper does not assign a fantasy-point figure, the player is deemed to have scored 0.0 points. Payouts are proportional to the player’s fantasy points, constrained and rounded as specified.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public perception differs from expert analysis. You might find that this market offers odds that are more aligned with statistical models or informed opinions, as opposed to simply reflecting popular bets. It’s a fascinating comparison to consider when evaluating potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available liquidity at various price points, giving traders insight into the potential impact of larger trades. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Baltimore vs Atlanta match, as officially recorded, will determine the winning contract. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price. It's important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure a fair and transparent outcome for all participants. The market will close prior to the event’s completion.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Oct 12, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected performance in prior matches could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-game analysis from prominent sports commentators could also have an impact. Major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or social media, can also influence trading activity. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves and identifying potential trading opportunities.