TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:13 PM EST
Kalshi
Observing the second quarter, this event determines if both Baltimore and Atlanta score any points during that quarter of the scheduled game, with all regular time points counted.
If Baltimore and Atlanta both score points in the 2nd quarter of the Baltimore vs Atlanta Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Analyzing the difference between the implied probability in this market and sportsbook lines can reveal areas where the crowd believes there’s value, or where the market may be mispricing the likelihood of a particular outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the 2nd quarter. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants and adjusts in real-time based on new information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both the Baltimore and Atlanta teams score at least one point during the 2nd quarter of the game. Official game statistics will be used to determine the final result. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency, and settle all outstanding contracts accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Baltimore or Atlanta teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's offensive style, could also shift the market. In-game performance during the 1st quarter, such as a dominant offensive showing by one team, might lead traders to adjust their predictions. Unexpected strategic decisions by either coaching staff could also contribute to price movements in this market.