TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in the first half of an upcoming football game. Bettors can speculate on whether a team will exceed various scoring thresholds, offering different levels of challenge and potential return.
The markets resolve based on the total points scored by either Baltimore or Atlanta in the first half of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold for a given team; if the team's score in the first half exceeds the stated threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' Thresholds range from modest scores like over 2.5 points to very high benchmarks such as over 30.5 points. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments. Over time, prediction market prices often become more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as more information becomes available and trading volume increases. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes move in response to shifts observed in this market, creating a dynamic interplay between the two.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the first half team totals. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official first half team totals for both the Baltimore and Atlanta teams will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to see the final results and payouts on Kalshi following the conclusion of the first half.
Several signals could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Baltimore or Atlanta teams would likely cause significant movement. Weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also play a role. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift market sentiment. Even public perception, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can influence trading activity and, consequently, the prices in this market.