TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which player or unit will score the first touchdown for the Baltimore team in an upcoming football game against Atlanta. It covers various offensive players, including quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, and even the defensive unit, providing fans with a detailed way to engage with the game's early momentum.
Each market specifies a particular Baltimore player or the defensive unit as the potential scorer of the first touchdown in the game against Atlanta. If the designated player or unit scores the first touchdown for Baltimore, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A separate 'No Touchdown' market resolves to Yes if Baltimore fails to score any touchdowns in the game, automatically settling all player-specific markets to No. For any player or unit listed, if they are active but do not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once a player or unit takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the outcome is determined solely by whether they score the first touchdown. These rules ensure clarity and fairness in resolving each market based on actual game events and participant involvement.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers. The price of a contract representing a specific outcome – in this case, a particular player scoring the first touchdown – fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer we get to the game, the more volatile the price may become as new information emerges and traders refine their predictions. The current price reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of each player being the first to reach the endzone.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which player scored the first touchdown in the game between Baltimore and Atlanta. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data, ensuring an accurate and impartial determination of the winning outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final result and subsequent market settlement.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key offensive players on either team would have a substantial impact, as would changes in weather forecasts that could affect the game’s strategy. Late-breaking news about team formations or play-calling tendencies could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, could drive increased trading activity and price fluctuations in this market.