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419,363

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Ballon d'Or 2026: Men's Goalkeeper of the Year
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win Ballon d'Or Men's Goalkeeper of the Year?

Volume:
$74,808

Unai Simón

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 5:53 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Unai Simón

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$28,542
N/A
N/A
$23,247
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Unai Simon

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,671
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2h
Yes
kalshi

David Raya

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,383
N/A
N/A
$16,370
Settled
No
polymarket

David Raya

View
0%
93%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,084
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2h
No
kalshi

Joan García

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,979
N/A
N/A
$6,239
Settled
No
polymarket

Joan Garcia

View
0%
93%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$239
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2h
No
kalshi

Thibaut Courtois

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,617
N/A
N/A
$3,473
Settled
No
polymarket

Thibaut Courtois

View
0%
91%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$356
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2h
No
kalshi

Vozinha

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,989
N/A
N/A
$1,953
Settled
No
polymarket

Vozinha

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$519
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2h
No
kalshi

Matvey Safonov

View
0%
91%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,230
N/A
N/A
$1,120
Settled
No
polymarket

Matvey Safonov

View
0%
92%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$879
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2h
No
kalshi

Emiliano Martínez

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$755
N/A
N/A
$754
Settled
No
polymarket

Emiliano Martinez

View
0%
95%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2h
No
kalshi

Yassine Bounou

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$477
N/A
N/A
$477
Settled
No
polymarket

Yassine Bounou

View
0%
93%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2h
No
polymarket

Gregor Kobel

View
0%
93%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2h
No
kalshi

Gregor Kobel

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Edouard Mendy

View
0%
93%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2h
No
kalshi

Édouard Mendy

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2h
No
Total markets: 21

Description

This group forecasts the winner of the Ballon d'Or Men's Goalkeeper of the Year award (Yashin Trophy) in 2026. The award recognizes the best goalkeeper in the world for the 2025-2026 season, with the ceremony typically held in October/November 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms align on resolving to the officially announced winner of the Yashin Trophy, with a defined fallback to 'Other' if no winner is declared or multiple winners are named.Primary resolution logic: Official Ballon d'Or announcement from France Football and/or UEFA

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to 'Yes' for the single player officially awarded the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Goalkeeper of the Year (Yashin Trophy).
  • If no winner is declared by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or multiple players are named the winner, the market resolves to 'Other'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tie: If multiple players are officially declared winners, the market resolves to 'Other'.
  • Cancellation: If the Ballon d'Or ceremony is cancelled or postponed such that no winner is declared by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to 'Other'.
Timing: Resolution will occur upon the official announcement of the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Goalkeeper of the Year award, or no later than November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET if no winner is declared.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Men's Goalkeeper of the Year award (previously the Yashin Trophy) at the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony, scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If more than one player is named the winner of this award, this market will resolve to "Other". If no winner of this award is declared by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, for any reason, including the cancellation or postponement of the ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Each market corresponds to a specific footballer contending for the 2026 Men's Yashin Trophy, awarded for performances during the 2025-26 season. A market resolves to Yes only if the named player is announced as the sole winner of the award. Should multiple recipients be named without a dedicated tie market, each recipient's Yes contracts payout proportionally ($1 divided by the number of tied winners), while all other participant markets resolve to No. If the award is not given, all markets resolve to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing football league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probabilities of various candidates winning the Ballon d'Or Men's Goalkeeper of the Year award in 2026. It aggregates trading volume and implied probabilities from both platforms to provide a consensus view of who is favored to win. Currently, the total volume across both venues is $74,808, with $69,278 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard visualizes how these probabilities shift over time, offering insight into market sentiment regarding the Ballon d'Or goalkeeper market.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Strong performances by leading goalkeepers in major club and international competitions, such as the Champions League or the World Cup, will likely shift probabilities. Injuries to key contenders could also cause substantial price movements. Unexpected changes in team form or managerial decisions affecting a goalkeeper's playing time are other potential catalysts. Any news regarding the Ballon d'Or voting process or eligibility criteria could also influence trading activity in this market.