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411,051

Markets across

40,408

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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Ballon d'Or 2026: 3rd Place
polymarket

Who will finish 3rd in Ballon d'Or 2026?

Volume:
$380,889

Lamine Yamal

 - Polymarket

Lamine Yamal - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 9:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Lamine Yamal

View
100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$179,099
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
Yes
polymarket

Kylian Mbappé

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50,530
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Rodri

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,156
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Harry Kane

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,687
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Lionel Messi

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,002
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Ousmane Dembélé

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,825
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,998
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Michael Olise

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,305
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Fabian Ruiz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,365
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Erling Haaland

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,828
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Declan Rice

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,810
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Vitinha

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,096
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Vinícius Júnior

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,017
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Jude Bellingham

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,744
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Lautaro Martinez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,707
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Gabriel Magalhães

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Ferran Torres

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Pau Cubarsi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Achraf Hakimi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Bruno Fernandes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Luis Diaz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Marc Cucurella

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Marquinhos

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Nuno Mendes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

João Neves

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
Total markets: 25 of 51

Description

This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 3rd place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If two or more players are tied for 3rd place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 3rd place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If two or more players are tied for 3rd place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Ballon d'Or 3rd place market tracks the current odds for each potential player to finish in third place, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time. You can also see the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $165,568, and the total volume traded to date, which is $380,889. This provides a real-time view of how PredictionHero users are assessing the likelihood of different outcomes in this competition.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like marketing or house biases, whereas this market is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell based on their individual assessments. While sportsbooks might initially set odds based on pre-season expectations, this market will dynamically adjust as new information emerges, such as player performance and injuries. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as the event draws nearer.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders can buy 'yes' shares if they believe a particular player will finish in third place, or sell 'no' shares if they disagree. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer we get to the award ceremony, the more volatile the prices may become as new information is factored in by traders.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the official Ballon d'Or awards ceremony has concluded and the third-place finisher is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official announcement from the Ballon d'Or organizers will serve as the determining factor. The market will then settle to 100% for the player who officially placed third, and 0% for all others. Traders holding winning shares will be able to redeem them for the corresponding payout.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major injuries to key contenders, exceptional performance in league play or the Champions League, and even unexpected shifts in media narratives could all influence trader sentiment. Any news regarding player form, team success, or individual accolades will likely be reflected in the market prices. Furthermore, the announcement of the shortlist of nominees will be a key event, potentially causing substantial price movements as the field narrows and the perceived probabilities shift.