TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 4:09 PM EST
Polymarket
Exact margin markets for Ball State vs. Northwestern.
Exact margin markets for Ball State vs. Northwestern.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different point differentials in the Ball State-Northwestern game. The price of each share reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that specific margin occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the likely outcome. The current volume traded suggests considerable interest in predicting the game’s final score differential.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point differential between Ball State and Northwestern will be used to determine which shares pay out. The shares corresponding to the exact margin will be worth 1 USDC each, while others will be worth 0 USDC. This ensures a clear and objective resolution based on the official result of the game, as reported by a trusted source.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Ball State or Northwestern teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift traders’ expectations. Public sentiment, reflected in polls or expert analyses, may also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.