TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 10:08 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Bali United and Persijap Jepara in the Indonesia Super League. The result is determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The event covers all possible outcomes: a win for either team or a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Bali United vs Persijap Jepara professional Indonesia Super League soccer match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (not including extra time or penalties). Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Bali United, a win for Persijap Jepara, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the governing rules. The event specifically excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result after the standard match duration.
Typically, prediction market odds represent a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, and may adjust lines based on liabilities or promotional considerations. This market, however, is driven purely by individuals trading on their beliefs about the outcome. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, the prediction market reflects the wisdom of the crowd, potentially revealing insights that differ from traditional betting outlets. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants regarding the likely result of the Bali United vs Persijap match. Traders are constantly updating their positions, leading to dynamic price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Bali United vs Persijap match, as officially recorded by the governing football league, will determine the winning contract. Resolution will occur after the completion of the match and the official confirmation of the score. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team lineups for either Bali United or Persijap Jepara would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also impact the odds. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion, fueled by expert analysis or media coverage, could drive trading activity. Even in-match events, such as early goals or red cards, could lead to rapid adjustments in the market as traders react to the unfolding situation.