TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Atlanta Falcons will win by more than 1.5 points in their game against the Baltimore Ravens. Currently, Kalshi gives a 58.0% probability to that outcome. The market resolves based on the final point differential of the BAL Ravens vs ATL Falcons Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, as reported by the game’s official results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the outcome of the fixture and will be finalized by the resolution date of 2026-10-12.
This event includes multiple markets focused on the spread between the BAL Ravens and ATL Falcons. Markets exist for the Ravens winning by various margins over 1.5 to 20.5 points, and for the Falcons winning by margins over 1.5 to 14.5 points. A market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins by more than the stated margin. As with the total points markets, all share a secondary rule disclaiming affiliation with the governing league and noting trademark ownership.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on unique information or perspectives held by traders. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of opinions and potential insights. It’s common to see prediction markets reacting quickly to news and events that might cause a delay in sportsbook adjustments, potentially offering a different perspective on the likely outcome. However, both aim to accurately predict the final result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Ravens-Falcons game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific spread, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, offering a real-time assessment of the game's potential outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Ravens-Falcons game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the league, and will determine which contracts pay out to winning traders. The market will settle to the actual point difference between the final scores of both teams, determining which spread contracts were correctly predicted by the crowd. Traders should monitor official sources for the confirmed game result to understand the final settlement.
Several factors could influence the Ravens-Falcons spread market. Any significant news regarding player injuries to key players on either team would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts for the game day could also impact the spread, as could late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale. Major shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or prominent sports commentators, could also sway trader sentiment and affect the price of contracts in this market. Unexpected developments leading up to the game are likely to be reflected in the market’s price.