TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both the Baltimore Ravens and the Atlanta Falcons specifically during the third quarter of their upcoming game. Each market has a different threshold for the combined points that need to be exceeded for the outcome to be considered a success.
All markets resolve based on the combined points scored by both teams during the third quarter of the designated Pro Football game. Each market has a specific numerical threshold; if the total points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the third quarter count, and all markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. The markets cover a range of point totals, allowing participants to speculate on various levels of scoring intensity in that specific quarter.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. It’s common to see differences emerge, particularly as new information—like injury reports or weather forecasts—becomes available. These differences can stem from varying levels of information access or differing interpretations of the same data. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can provide a broader understanding of the potential outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total points scored in the 3rd quarter will be above or below a certain threshold. As more traders participate, the price of these contracts fluctuates, reflecting the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price essentially represents the probability of a particular outcome, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived likelihood. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total points scored in the 3rd quarter of the Ravens-Falcons game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and used to determine whether the contracts settle at 100 or 0. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, ensuring a fair outcome for all participants. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Ravens or the Falcons would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the passing or running game, could also influence trading activity. In-game performance during the first half, such as a dominant offensive showing by one team, could shift expectations and drive price changes. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis, could also move this market before Oct 12, 2026.