TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either the Baltimore Ravens or the Atlanta Falcons specifically within the third quarter of their scheduled game on October 11, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that determines whether the outcome is considered a win for the specified team by that margin.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential between the Baltimore Ravens and the Atlanta Falcons during the third quarter of their game scheduled for October 11, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the designated team wins the third quarter by more than the specified point margin. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward the resolution, regardless of the overall game outcome. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from narrow margins like over 2.5 points to larger margins such as over 10.5 points, allowing participants to bet on varying degrees of dominance in that specific quarter. The markets are independent of each other, and the governing league's official scoring and game records will determine the results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and a desire to balance action, while this market represents what traders are willing to pay to take a position on the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of volume is traded. If you believe the market is mispricing the probability of a particular spread, you can capitalize on the difference by trading on Kalshi.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Ravens-Falcons 3rd quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. You can view the current best bid and ask prices, as well as the depth of the order book, directly on the Kalshi dashboard.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the third quarter of the Ravens-Falcons game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake. It’s important to monitor the game and ensure you understand the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Ravens or the Falcons would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also shift the market. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi from informed traders could indicate new information or a change in sentiment, leading to price adjustments. Keep an eye on these signals as the game approaches.