TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential between the Baltimore Ravens and the Atlanta Falcons specifically during the second quarter of their scheduled game. Each market corresponds to different thresholds of victory for either team, allowing participants to assess varying levels of dominance in that quarter.
All markets resolve based solely on the scoring differential between the Baltimore Ravens and the Atlanta Falcons during the second quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market has a specific point threshold that determines whether it resolves as 'Yes'—if the stated team wins the quarter by more than the specified margin. Only points scored in the second quarter count toward resolution; any points from other quarters are irrelevant. The markets cover a range of differentials for both teams, from narrow victories (over 2.5 points) to decisive wins (over 10.5 points), allowing participants to bet on varying degrees of quarter-specific performance. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. This can create opportunities for informed traders who identify discrepancies between the two. It's common to see this market and sportsbook odds converge as the event approaches, but divergences can occur based on differing information or perspectives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the second quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, as profitable trades are rewarded. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likely spread. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time estimate of the event's probability.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the second quarter of the Ravens-Falcons game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result announced by the relevant sporting authority. The contract corresponding to the actual point spread will pay out $100, while all other contracts will pay out $0. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the market’s settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Ravens or the Falcons would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift market sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role, though the market’s price is ultimately determined by trading activity on Kalshi.