TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the second half of an upcoming NFL game between the Baltimore Ravens and the Atlanta Falcons. The outcome depends solely on second-half performance, ignoring the first-half results. If both teams finish the second half with equal scores, the market resolves as a tie.
If Atlanta wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the BAL Ravens vs ATL Falcons Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Baltimore wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the BAL Ravens vs ATL Falcons Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the BAL Ravens vs ATL Falcons Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or breaking news. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the same data. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the expected outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring – a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, constantly updating the price and reflecting new information. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new developments and adjust its predictions accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final result of which team wins the second half of the game between the Ravens and the Falcons will determine the settlement. The platform will rely on official game results to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Ravens or the Falcons would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the odds. Unexpected strategic adjustments announced by either coaching staff could also move the market. Finally, even public sentiment and large bets from influential traders on Kalshi can create short-term price fluctuations as the game approaches.