TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses exclusively on the second half performance of the BAL Ravens versus ATL Falcons game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Outcomes are determined solely by the point differential in the latter half of play, including any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential occurring in the second half (including overtime) of the designated Pro Football game between the BAL Ravens and ATL Falcons. Each market specifies a different threshold for the winning team's margin of victory: markets 1-8 define varying point spreads for an ATL Falcons victory, while markets 9-15 define varying point spreads for a BAL Ravens victory. A market resolves to 'Yes' only if the specified team's win exceeds the stated point differential during this designated timeframe. No points scored in the first half contribute to any resolution. The governing body's official scoring and game records determine final outcomes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individuals. If a significant discrepancy emerges between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the second half. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect new information and sentiment. Essentially, the price indicates how much it costs to take one side of the bet, and the market dynamically finds a price where buyers and sellers agree.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official second half spread of the Ravens-Falcons game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final official result as determined by the league, and the contracts will pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by the purchased contracts. The market will then be considered settled, and any outstanding contracts will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Ravens or Falcons would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also shift the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment and lead to price fluctuations. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators may also play a role.