TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 9:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This event centers around the point differential between the two teams during the first quarter. Markets are structured to resolve based on whether Atlanta or Baltimore wins the quarter by a specific margin of points.
A series of markets are established based on the point differential between Atlanta and Baltimore during the first quarter. Markets exist for both teams winning by various margins, ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points. If the winning team exceeds the specified margin in the first quarter, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored in the first quarter are considered for these markets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on unique information or perspectives held by traders. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market allows individuals to express their beliefs about the game's outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing opinions on injuries, weather conditions, or other factors influencing the Ravens-Falcons 1st quarter spread. It’s common to see prediction markets react quickly to new information, potentially leading to odds movements before sportsbooks adjust.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the first quarter. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the likely outcome of the Ravens-Falcons 1st quarter spread. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the spread and taking positions accordingly. The current price represents the probability that the actual spread will fall within the range specified by the contract.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the first quarter spread in the Ravens-Falcons game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official game statistics, and contracts will pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range specified by each contract. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome for this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Ravens or Falcons would likely impact the spread. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also influence trading activity. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also play a role. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment, reflected in polls or expert analysis, could drive changes in the price of contracts for the Ravens-Falcons 1st quarter spread.