TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether the Baltimore Ravens and Atlanta Falcons will collectively score over 21.5 points in the first half of their game. Currently, the probability of over 21.5 first-half points scoring on Kalshi is 99.0%. The resolution source for this market is the total points scored by both teams in the first half of the BAL Ravens vs ATL Falcons Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the outcome of the first half, with final resolution expected by October 12, 2026.
These markets determine whether the combined score of the BAL Ravens and ATL Falcons in the first half of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026, exceeds specified thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 42.5 points. Each market has a unique threshold, and the outcome for each is binary: 'Yes' if the total points scored by both teams during the first half surpass the threshold, and 'No' otherwise. All markets exclusively consider points scored in the first half of play, with no consideration given to the second half or any post-game events. The resolution is contingent upon the official game result as recorded by the governing league, and all markets are independent, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on unique information or sentiment within the prediction market. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs. It's common to see initial discrepancies that narrow as the event approaches, but sometimes prediction markets can offer a more accurate forecast, especially when public opinion differs significantly from expert analysis. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the Ravens-Falcons 1st half total will be over or under the implied threshold. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the price is to 100, the more the market believes the event will occur, and vice versa. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the first half total score of the Ravens-Falcons game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final combined score of both teams during the first half will be used to determine whether the market settles in favor of the 'over' or 'under' outcome. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Ravens or the Falcons would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to high or low scoring, could also shift the market. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale might also play a role, as could significant shifts in public sentiment or betting patterns observed on Kalshi. These signals all contribute to the dynamic pricing of this market.