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$1,885,293,300

410,482

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40,213

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4,340

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BAL Ravens vs ATL Falcons: 1st Half Spread
kalshi

What is the result of BAL Ravens vs ATL Falcons?

Volume:
$1,514,837

ATL Falcons wins by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

ATL Falcons wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 10:07 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

ATL Falcons wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$653,026
N/A
N/A
$398,594
Settled
Yes
kalshi

ATL Falcons wins by over 3.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$183,166
N/A
N/A
$78,448
Settled
Yes
kalshi

ATL Falcons wins by over 4.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$114,278
N/A
N/A
$52,586
Settled
Yes
kalshi

ATL Falcons wins by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$164,130
N/A
N/A
$102,600
Settled
No
kalshi

BAL Ravens wins by over 2.5 points

0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$137,485
N/A
N/A
$97,493
Settled
No
kalshi

ATL Falcons wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$126,262
N/A
N/A
$71,282
Settled
No
kalshi

BAL Ravens wins by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,536
N/A
N/A
$24,127
Settled
No
kalshi

BAL Ravens wins by over 4.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,196
N/A
N/A
$11,053
Settled
No
kalshi

ATL Falcons wins by over 13.5 points

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,045
N/A
N/A
$15,454
Settled
No
kalshi

ATL Falcons wins by over 9.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,905
N/A
N/A
$11,019
Settled
No
kalshi

BAL Ravens wins by over 6.5 points

0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,596
N/A
N/A
$10,346
Settled
No
kalshi

BAL Ravens wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,966
N/A
N/A
$12,196
Settled
No
kalshi

ATL Falcons wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,585
N/A
N/A
$7,603
Settled
No
kalshi

BAL Ravens wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,641
N/A
N/A
$3,229
Settled
No
kalshi

BAL Ravens wins by over 9.5 points

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,020
N/A
N/A
$1,881
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Intro

This market asks whether the Atlanta Falcons will win the first half of their game against the Baltimore Ravens by more than 2.5 points. Currently, the probability of this outcome occurring on Kalshi is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on the result of the first half of the BAL Ravens vs ATL Falcons Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, as reported by the game’s official results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves based on the first-half score and will be finalized no later than the resolution date of October 12, 2026.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the point differential between the BAL Ravens and ATL Falcons in the first half of their game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market specifies a different point threshold; if the winning team exceeds that threshold by more than the stated margin, the respective market resolves to 'Yes.' Only points scored during the first half count toward these resolutions. The outcomes range from narrow victories exceeding 2.5 points to decisive wins exceeding 13.5 points, covering both teams' potential dominance. All markets operate independently, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately without affecting the others. The governing body's official scoring and game results determine the resolution, and Kalshi disclaims any formal affiliation with the league or ownership of associated trademarks.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Ravens-Falcons 1st half spread tracks the current price, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the total volume for this market is $1,514,837, with $1,501,717 traded in the last 24 hours. You can see how the price of this market fluctuates as traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 1st half spread of this NFL game. This provides a real-time view of expectations surrounding the game's opening half.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the opinions of informed traders. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. This can lead to prediction market odds being more accurate than sportsbook odds, particularly as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are still a useful comparison point for understanding broader market sentiment.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions about the 1st half spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their contracts are correct and lose if they are not. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust its expectations as the game draws nearer. The current price represents the collective belief of all traders on Kalshi.

This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final 1st half spread of the Ravens-Falcons game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The official result will be sourced from established sports data providers and will be used to settle all outstanding contracts on Kalshi. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect spread will forfeit their investment.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Ravens or Falcons would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions might also shift trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi themselves can create momentum and drive price fluctuations, especially as we get closer to Oct 12, 2026 and more information becomes available.