TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Bakersfield Roadrunners vs. CSUN Matadors (W)
Volume:
$34,381
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners and Cal State Northridge (CSUN) Matadors scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing the outcome of this single game, with resolution tied to the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution criteria map both possible game outcomes (Bakersfield win and CSUN win) to the same resolution value (Yes), rendering the market logically unresolvable as a binary contract. Polymarket correctly differentiates outcomes by winner name.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the platform clarifies whether both outcomes truly resolve to Yes (data error), whether the market is actually a yes/no on game completion, or whether one outcome should resolve to No. Polymarket's market is logically sound and should be your reference for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Resolves to winner name (Bakersfield Roadrunners or CSUN Matadors) based on final score including overtime. Postponed games remain open; canceled games with no makeup resolve 50-50. Key Quote: 'If the Bakersfield Roadrunners win, the market will resolve to Bakersfield Roadrunners. If the CSUN Matadors win, the market will resolve to CSUN Matadors.'
- Kalshi: Both outcomes map to Yes: 'If Cal State Bakersfield wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Cal State Northridge wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical contradiction in a binary market structure. Key Quote: 'If Cal State Bakersfield wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Cal State Northridge wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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