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Bahia vs Flamengo: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Bahia vs Flamengo?

Volume:
$88,149

Flamengo wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Flamengo wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 7:34 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Flamengo wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$38,227
N/A
N/A
$21,299
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Flamengo wins by more than 2.5 goals

100%
90%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,942
N/A
N/A
$10,563
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bahia wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,389
N/A
N/A
$14,789
Settled
No
kalshi

Flamengo wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,956
N/A
N/A
$7,028
Settled
No
kalshi

Bahia wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,634
N/A
N/A
$6,285
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Bahia and Flamengo, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. It reflects how decisively one team outperforms the other within the standard match duration.

Kalshi

The event evaluates different winning margins in the Bahia vs Flamengo Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026. Resolution occurs based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. Four distinct outcome thresholds are defined: Bahia winning by more than 2.5 goals, Bahia winning by more than 1.5 goals, Flamengo winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Flamengo winning by more than 2.5 goals. Any market resolving to 'Yes' occurs only if the specified team achieves the corresponding goal-differential victory within regular time. The governing body’s official match result determines all resolutions, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any formal affiliation with the league or ownership of associated intellectual property.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Bahia vs Flamengo match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the perceived probability of different outcomes shifts over time based on trader activity. Currently, the total volume for this market is $88,149, with $87,805 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard provides a visual representation of market sentiment, allowing you to analyze how traders are positioning themselves ahead of the event. This information can be valuable for understanding the potential direction of the market.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or interpretations. If a significant difference emerges, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome in the Bahia vs Flamengo match. Examining these differences can provide insights into market efficiency.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the volume of buy and sell orders at various price levels, indicates the strength of conviction behind different predictions. Traders aim to profit by accurately forecasting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.

This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Bahia vs Flamengo match, specifically the spread as determined by official sources. The platform will verify the final score against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the outcome is officially confirmed, and payouts will be processed accordingly. This ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution process.

Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in market expectations. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact on the Bahia vs Flamengo match is crucial for understanding potential price fluctuations.