TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:32 PM EST
Kalshi
The match features two teams competing in a professional football league. The focus is on whether both teams manage to score a goal during regular time, including any added stoppage time at the end of the match. This scenario checks the offensive performance of each team within the standard duration of play.
If Bahia and Flamengo both score a goal in the Bahia vs Flamengo Brasileiro Serie A match originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, often incorporating information not immediately available to sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are set by professional oddsmakers, this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs about the likelihood of both teams scoring. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to unique data, or simply the dynamic nature of the prediction market where prices adjust rapidly with each trade. It's common to see prediction markets offer a slightly different probability assessment than traditional sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of both teams scoring in the Bahia vs Flamengo match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability, and vice versa. The market depth and trading activity influence the price, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Bahia and Flamengo score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams found the back of the net. The final result will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Bahia or Flamengo would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups, or even pre-match analysis from reputable sources, could all contribute to price fluctuations. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of both teams scoring will likely move this market.