TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 4:01 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group concerns the outcome of a EuroCup basketball game between Bahcesehir Koleji and PAOK BC, scheduled for October 27, 2026. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with potential considerations for postponements or cancellations.
In the upcoming EuroCup game, scheduled for October 27 at 12:00PM ET: If the Bahcesehir Koleji win, the market will resolve to "Bahcesehir Koleji". If the PAOK BC win, the market will resolve to "PAOK BC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
The event involves two parallel markets, each tied to a different team’s victory in the same basketball match. If PAOK BC secures a win in the EuroCup game scheduled for October 27, 2026, at 12:00 PM EDT, the PAOK BC market resolves to Yes, while the Bahcesehir Koleji market resolves to No, and vice versa for a Bahcesehir Koleji victory. Both markets share identical secondary rules: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game is canceled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, both markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment of all participants regardless of which team’s market they chose. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set lines to ensure profitability, factoring in a margin, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially when a large and informed crowd participates. Furthermore, prediction markets benefit from continuous trading, quickly incorporating new information, whereas sportsbook odds are typically adjusted less frequently. The efficiency of this market is a key differentiator.
Prices for this market on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and fee structures, which can influence price discovery. Differences in liquidity—the volume of trading—can also lead to price discrepancies. Additionally, varying levels of information and expertise among traders on each platform can contribute to differing assessments of the likely outcome. It’s common to see some price separation, even for the same underlying event, reflecting these platform-specific dynamics.