TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 5:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an international soccer match between the national teams of Bahamas and the U.S. Virgin Islands. The focus is on determining which team will win the match within regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. If the game ends with both teams level after regular time, a separate outcome is designated.
The event determines the winner of the professional Concacaf Nations League soccer match between the national teams of Bahamas and the U.S. Virgin Islands, scheduled for October 4, 2026. A win for either team within 90 minutes plus stoppage time (but not extra time or penalties) resolves the respective market to Yes. If the match concludes in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve at a fair price as determined per the rules. The markets operate independently of the official governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially dominate with established opinions, this market can quickly adapt to incorporate insights that aren’t immediately reflected in traditional betting lines, potentially offering a different perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants regarding the potential results of the Bahamas vs Virgin Islands match.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bahamas vs Virgin Islands match as reported by recognized sports authorities. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out based on the final market price at resolution. The market will close prior to the event's completion, allowing time for accurate determination of the result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team performance, or changes in coaching strategies for either the Bahamas or the Virgin Islands could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also create volatility. Furthermore, major upsets in other related sporting events or shifts in public perception regarding team strengths could all contribute to movement in this market as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.