TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

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40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Bahamas vs US Virgin Island: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Bahamas vs US Virgin Island?

Volume:
$80,245

US Virgin Island wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

US Virgin Island wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 5:56 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

US Virgin Island wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$69,853
N/A
N/A
$50,917
Settled
No
kalshi

US Virgin Island wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,555
N/A
N/A
$5,385
Settled
No
kalshi

Bahamas wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$962
N/A
N/A
$509
Settled
No
kalshi

US Virgin Island wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$818
N/A
N/A
$545
Settled
No
kalshi

Bahamas wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$545
N/A
N/A
$545
Settled
No
kalshi

US Virgin Island wins by more than 4.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$513
N/A
N/A
$362
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

The outcome depends on the margin of victory for either team within the standard 90-minute regulation time plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.

Kalshi

All markets for this event resolve based on the goal differential in the Bahamas vs US Virgin Island professional CONCACAF Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. The outcome is determined by the difference in goals scored between the two teams during the 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, with no consideration given to extra time, penalty shootouts, or other post-regulation proceedings. Each market specifies a different winning margin threshold for each team, ranging from Bahamas winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals to US Virgin Island winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, and resolves to Yes if the actual margin exceeds the specified threshold in favor of the relevant team. The secondary rules clarify that the platform is not officially affiliated with CONCACAF and that all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Bahamas vs USVI game tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of each outcome changes over time as traders buy and sell contracts. Currently, the total volume for this market is $80,245, with $26,816 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard provides a real-time view of market sentiment and allows you to analyze trading activity related to this specific matchup.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market's life cycle, as prediction markets can incorporate information and perspectives not fully captured by sportsbooks. Examining these differences can reveal insights into public perception and potential value.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, leading to dynamic price movements based on their expectations for the Bahamas vs USVI game.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Bahamas vs USVI game, specifically the spread, will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 5, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in coaching strategies, or significant shifts in team performance could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or other external factors that might affect the game’s dynamics could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in public opinion could quickly move the market, creating opportunities for traders to react to new information.