TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 5:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This event assesses if both Bahamas and the US Virgin Islands will score in their forthcoming CONCACAF Nations League encounter. The result hinges on whether each side scores at least one goal within the 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties not considered.
If Bahamas and US Virgin Island both score a goal in the Bahamas vs US Virgin Island CONCACAF Nations League match originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s price is driven by actual money being wagered. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probability of both teams scoring in the Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands match. It’s worth comparing the implied probabilities from both sources to identify potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands match. As more people buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher probability, and vice versa for 'no' contracts. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the current consensus of all participants, and the market remains open until Oct 5, 2026, allowing for dynamic price discovery based on new information or shifts in sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both the Bahamas and the US Virgin Islands score at least one goal during the match. Official match results, as reported by recognized sports data providers, will be used to determine the winning outcome. The final price on Kalshi at resolution will reflect the probability of both teams scoring as assessed by traders leading up to the event.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 5, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Bahamas or the US Virgin Islands would likely have an impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to significantly affect the style of play, could also move the market. Additionally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams’ offensive capabilities could drive trading activity and alter the price. Unexpected team lineup announcements could also be a catalyst.