TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

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$181,481,432

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2,983,476,643

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$1,827,991,073

405,996

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4,368

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5

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VS.

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Azerbaijan vs Lithuania: Spread
predict
kalshi

What is the result of Azerbaijan vs Lithuania?

Volume:
$155,124

O/U 0.5

 - Predict

O/U 0.5 - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 11:00 AM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

O/U 0.5

View
99%
11%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$168
$2,544
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 2.5

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$30
$37,264
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

O/U 3.5

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$4,362
$20,696
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Both Teams to Score

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$80
$10,892
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

O/U 4.5

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$4,173
$7,557
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

O/U 1.5

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$151
$4,927
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Azerbaijan (-2.5)

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$49
$561
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

O/U 5.5

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$4,050
$539
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Lithuania (-4.5)

View
1%
5%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$52
$400
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Lithuania (-1.5)

View
1%
8%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$1
$385
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Lithuania wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,403
N/A
N/A
$9,380
Settled
No
predict

Azerbaijan (-1.5)

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$81
$388
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Azerbaijan wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,130
N/A
N/A
$18,921
Settled
No
predict

Lithuania (-2.5)

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$49
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Lithuania wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,425
N/A
N/A
$3,326
Settled
No
kalshi

Azerbaijan wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,014
N/A
N/A
$13,877
Settled
No
predict

Azerbaijan (-3.5)

View
N/A
N/A
—
$49
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Lithuania (-3.5)

View
N/A
N/A
—
$49
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Azerbaijan (-4.5)

View
N/A
N/A
—
$49
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Azerbaijan (-5.5)

View
N/A
N/A
—
$49
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Lithuania (-5.5)

View
N/A
N/A
—
$4,341
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

O/U 6.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
$4,064
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

O/U 7.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
$4,145
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

O/U 8.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
$4,118
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 24

Description

This group covers various spread markets for the UEFA Nations League soccer match between Azerbaijan and Lithuania, scheduled for October 4th. Markets assess whether either team will win by a specified goal margin (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5 goals).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The group contains multiple spread markets with varying goal margins, creating a divergence in resolution criteria across platforms.Hero tip: Carefully track the final score and compare it to the specific spread market you are trading. Understand the exact goal difference needed for a 'Yes' resolution on each platform.

Critical divergence points:

  • kalshi: Resolves 'Yes' if Azerbaijan wins by >2.5 goals OR Lithuania wins by >1.5/2.5 goals. Key Quote: "If Azerbaijan wins by more than 2.5 goals...then the market resolves to Yes."
  • predict: Offers multiple spread markets (e.g., Azerbaijan -1.5, Lithuania -2.5). Resolution depends on the specific spread and whether the winning team exceeds that margin. Key Quote: "This market will resolve to 'Azerbaijan' if Azerbaijan win the game by 2 or more goals."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes of the Azerbaijan vs Lithuania UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for October 4, 2026, based on the goal differential after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct markets are considered: Azerbaijan winning by more than 2.5 goals, Azerbaijan winning by more than 1.5 goals, Lithuania winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Lithuania winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified condition is met during the regulated time of the match. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Predict

More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 4 at 9:00 AM ET.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their view, leading to odds influenced by a wider range of information and analysis. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply variations in how each entity assesses the probability of an outcome. It’s valuable to compare both to inform your own predictions.

Prices on Kalshi and Predict for this market can diverge due to several factors. Kalshi and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different pool of traders with varying expertise and information, leading to distinct market interpretations. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanics of order matching and fee structures on each platform can influence price movements. These differences create opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from price discrepancies across venues.