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Azerbaijan vs. Lithuania - First Team to Score
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Azerbaijan vs Lithuania?

Volume:
$534

Azerbaijan

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 1:04 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Azerbaijan

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$27
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

AZE

View
43%
Yes 43¢No 57¢
—
N/A
$104
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

LIT

View
42%
Yes 42¢No 58¢
—
$12
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Lithuania

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Neither

View
12%
Yes 12¢No 88¢
—
N/A
$77
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$286
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Azerbaijan and Lithuania. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. If neither team scores, the market resolves to 'Neither'.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict define identical resolution criteria and source prioritization for determining the first team to score.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with fallback to Flashscore and Sofascore.

Core resolution logic:

  • The first goal scored during the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time determines the winner.
  • If no goal is scored within the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
  • Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are explicitly excluded.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed.
  • Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore is used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore is used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting is used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market resolves 50-50 (or to 'Draw' where applicable).
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official statistics are available, or within 24 hours of the event's conclusion if a fallback source is required.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Azerbaijan and Lithuania, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Azerbaijan" if Azerbaijan are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Lithuania" if Lithuania are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Predict

In the upcoming match between Azerbaijan and Lithuania, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Azerbaijan" if Azerbaijan are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Lithuania" if Lithuania are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the probability of either Azerbaijan or Lithuania scoring first in their upcoming match. Currently, Polymarket currently favors "Neither team to score first?" at 97%, while Predict does not have a clear leading outcome due to a lack of volume. This aggregation provides a consensus view of predictions from multiple sources, displaying the combined volume of approximately $534 and 24-hour volume of $534. The goal is to provide a comprehensive look at where the crowd believes the initial advantage lies in the Azerbaijan vs. Lithuania first-to-score market.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and expert analysis, while prediction markets aggregate individual predictions, which can incorporate a wider range of information and real-time sentiment. Differences can arise due to varying levels of information available to each, or differing interpretations of the same information. It's common to find discrepancies, especially before a significant event like the Azerbaijan vs. Lithuania match.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict for the Azerbaijan vs. Lithuania first-to-score market can occur due to several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading volumes, and risk appetites, all of which influence price discovery. Additionally, the specific design of each platform’s market – including fees, margin requirements, and available order types – can lead to variations. The limited volume on Predict may also contribute to price divergence, as smaller trading activity can result in greater price sensitivity and volatility compared to Polymarket.