TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AZ vs. Noah FA
Volume:
$187,232
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Conference League soccer match between AZ Alkmaar and Noah Yerevan scheduled for February 26, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the outcome (win, loss, or draw) within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling diverges between platforms. Polymarket explicitly defines cancellation outcomes (No for wins, Yes for draw), while Kalshi provides no cancellation clause, creating resolution ambiguity if the match is canceled without a makeup game.Hero Tip:
Monitor cancellation risk closely. On Polymarket, the Draw market is protected (resolves Yes on cancellation), but Win markets resolve No. Kalshi's silence on cancellation creates settlement risk; assume it follows standard sports betting practice (No resolution or void) unless confirmed otherwise.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: All three markets (Tie, Noah Win, Alkmaar Win) resolve to Yes if the respective outcome occurs within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Implicit assumption: match will be completed.
- Polymarket: Three separate markets with asymmetric cancellation logic. AZ Win and Noah FA Win resolve to No if canceled with no makeup. Draw resolves to Yes if canceled with no makeup. Postponement keeps markets open until completion. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (for wins) and 'Yes' (for draw).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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