TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
In the upcoming match between AZ and MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AZ" if AZ are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva" if MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between AZ and MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AZ" if AZ are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva" if MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as the event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates diverse opinions. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes offer value before the prediction market fully incorporates information. It’s common to see the odds on Predict converge with sportsbook lines as the event nears, though differences can persist due to varying market participants and information access.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders believe a team will score first, the price of that outcome’s contract increases. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, offering a forward-looking assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team—AZ or MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva—scores the first goal in the match. The resolution will be based on the official match records and verified against credible public sources. Any disputes regarding the outcome will be handled according to Predict’s standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding team injuries, particularly to key offensive players, would likely shift the odds. Changes in weather conditions, especially if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected lineup announcements or tactical changes revealed before the match could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could influence how traders position themselves in this market.