TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 03d:05h:01m
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This group resolves markets on the outcome of a UEFA Europa League match between AZ Alkmaar and Juventus FC on November 5, 2026. Markets ask whether AZ will win, Juventus will win, or the game will end in a draw.
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 between AZ and Juventus FC.
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 between AZ and Juventus FC.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for November 5, 2026, 20:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources of the participants. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This market, for example, may show a different probability for a Juventus win than a typical sportsbook. The efficiency of prediction markets can sometimes lead to more accurate probabilities, as they aggregate diverse opinions and rapidly incorporate new information. However, liquidity—the volume of trading—plays a crucial role in the accuracy of these predictions.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and liquidity levels, which can all influence price discovery. Currently, Polymarket currently favors a Juventus win at 47.5%, while Predict leans toward a Juventus win at 48.0%. Differences in trading fees, market maker activity, or even simply differing opinions among the user bases can contribute to these discrepancies. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform—$1,494 overall—is not necessarily evenly distributed, impacting price stability and responsiveness to new information.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the AZ vs. Juventus match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and official result will be used to determine the winning outcome. The market’s resolution will reflect the actual event outcome, as reported by trusted sports news sources and official league standings. Traders will be able to see the verified result and the corresponding payout for their positions at that time, based on the probabilities established before the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 6, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected by media coverage or social media trends, might influence trading activity. Major upsets in other related matches could also cause traders to reassess probabilities. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential price movements and make informed trading decisions.