TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 05d:16h:17m
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In the upcoming match between AZ and FC Groningen, scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 10:45 AM ET: This market will resolve to "AZ" if AZ are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Groningen" if FC Groningen are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between AZ and FC Groningen, scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 10:45 AM ET: This market will resolve to "AZ" if AZ are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Groningen" if FC Groningen are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals wagering their own capital. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probability of a team scoring first. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially regarding team news or late-breaking developments, leading to potentially different probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether AZ or FC Groningen will score first. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand – if many traders believe Groningen will score first, demand for those shares will increase, driving up the price and, consequently, the implied probability.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the AZ versus FC Groningen match. The official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either AZ or Groningen would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning or losing streak, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, potentially favoring one team’s playing style, could also be a catalyst. Finally, any pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts suggesting a change in expected performance could move this market as traders react to new information.